Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 15, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 34°C and 36°C or higher amid divergent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Recent observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show cooler-than-climatological highs near 31°C on April 10-12, influenced by persistent sea breezes off the Red Sea and variable low-level clouds moderating daytime heating, below the mid-April historical average of 34°C. Key differentiators include timing of afternoon sea breeze onset, upper-air ridging strength, and potential for clearer skies allowing peaks above 36°C; Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and new model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15?
36°C or higher 28%
34°C 27%
35°C 25%
33°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
10%
33°C
12%
34°C
27%
35°C
25%
36°C or higher
28%
36°C or higher 28%
34°C 27%
35°C 25%
33°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
26°C or below
$103 Vol.
1%
27°C
$82 Vol.
1%
28°C
$82 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
5%
30°C
$10 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
27%
35°C
$0 Vol.
25%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 15, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 34°C and 36°C or higher amid divergent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Recent observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show cooler-than-climatological highs near 31°C on April 10-12, influenced by persistent sea breezes off the Red Sea and variable low-level clouds moderating daytime heating, below the mid-April historical average of 34°C. Key differentiators include timing of afternoon sea breeze onset, upper-air ridging strength, and potential for clearer skies allowing peaks above 36°C; Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and new model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$287End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 15, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 34°C and 36°C or higher amid divergent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Recent observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show cooler-than-climatological highs near 31°C on April 10-12, influenced by persistent sea breezes off the Red Sea and variable low-level clouds moderating daytime heating, below the mid-April historical average of 34°C. Key differentiators include timing of afternoon sea breeze onset, upper-air ridging strength, and potential for clearer skies allowing peaks above 36°C; Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and new model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$287End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 15, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 34°C and 36°C or higher amid divergent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Recent observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport show cooler-than-climatological highs near 31°C on April 10-12, influenced by persistent sea breezes off the Red Sea and variable low-level clouds moderating daytime heating, below the mid-April historical average of 34°C. Key differentiators include timing of afternoon sea breeze onset, upper-air ridging strength, and potential for clearer skies allowing peaks above 36°C; Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and new model runs expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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