Latest observations from the Meteorological Bureau of Shenzhen Municipality and Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport— the market's official resolution source—show midday temperatures hitting 29.8°C under partly cloudy skies with south winds at 2-3 m/s, aligning with hourly forecasts peaking at 30°C before a gradual decline. This data, coupled with recent warm spells like April 10's 30°C high amid reduced cloud cover compared to cooler overcast days earlier in the week, drives the 99.9% trader consensus on a 31°C maximum, reflecting model agreement on limited afternoon intensification potential from current humidity (65-85%) and pressure (1004 hPa). A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or downslope heating pushing beyond 31°C late afternoon, though low probability given steering patterns; final airport readings expected by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
$253,521 Vol.
$253,521 Vol.
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
<1%
$253,521 Vol.
$253,521 Vol.
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest observations from the Meteorological Bureau of Shenzhen Municipality and Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport— the market's official resolution source—show midday temperatures hitting 29.8°C under partly cloudy skies with south winds at 2-3 m/s, aligning with hourly forecasts peaking at 30°C before a gradual decline. This data, coupled with recent warm spells like April 10's 30°C high amid reduced cloud cover compared to cooler overcast days earlier in the week, drives the 99.9% trader consensus on a 31°C maximum, reflecting model agreement on limited afternoon intensification potential from current humidity (65-85%) and pressure (1004 hPa). A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or downslope heating pushing beyond 31°C late afternoon, though low probability given steering patterns; final airport readings expected by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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