Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a Seoul-area high of 24°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, following yesterday's observed maximum of 20°C that resolved the prior market. Yet trader consensus remains tightly balanced around 21–23°C (24% for 21°C, 26.5% for 22°C, 19.5% for 23°C), reflecting model ensemble spreads—AccuWeather at 27°C, others near 22°C—and springtime uncertainty from variable cloud cover capping diurnal heating or southerly flow enhancing it. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and insolation potential amid a weak high-pressure ridge; watch KMA hourly updates and afternoon observations for resolution via official Seoul station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
22°C 27%
21°C 23%
23°C 18%
24°C or higher 12%
$170,540 Vol.
$170,540 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
23%
22°C
27%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
12%
22°C 27%
21°C 23%
23°C 18%
24°C or higher 12%
$170,540 Vol.
$170,540 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
23%
22°C
27%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a Seoul-area high of 24°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, following yesterday's observed maximum of 20°C that resolved the prior market. Yet trader consensus remains tightly balanced around 21–23°C (24% for 21°C, 26.5% for 22°C, 19.5% for 23°C), reflecting model ensemble spreads—AccuWeather at 27°C, others near 22°C—and springtime uncertainty from variable cloud cover capping diurnal heating or southerly flow enhancing it. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and insolation potential amid a weak high-pressure ridge; watch KMA hourly updates and afternoon observations for resolution via official Seoul station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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