Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a London high of 14°C (45.5%) or 13°C (34.2%) today, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicating peaks around 14°C amid light rain showers, patchy cloud, and lighter southwesterly winds. This reflects an abrupt shift from the record early April heatwave—26.6°C in Kew Gardens last week—to cooler Atlantic air masses following high-pressure breakdown, capping temperatures below recent highs while aligning with seasonal norms of 12–15°C. Hourly models show a midday rise to 14°C before afternoon showers potentially suppress further warming, though brief sun breaks could nudge toward 15°C (14.5%). Ongoing observations from official stations will refine the peak as the day unfolds, with model uncertainty around shower timing keeping lower outcomes viable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on April 13?
Highest temperature in London on April 13?
14°C 50%
13°C 28.5%
15°C 19%
12°C 4.2%
$194,349 Vol.
$194,349 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
29%
14°C
50%
15°C
19%
16°C or higher
2%
14°C 50%
13°C 28.5%
15°C 19%
12°C 4.2%
$194,349 Vol.
$194,349 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
8°C
$8,657 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$8,467 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$14,704 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$23,043 Vol.
1%
12°C
$37,312 Vol.
4%
13°C
$27,616 Vol.
29%
14°C
$15,437 Vol.
50%
15°C
$17,729 Vol.
19%
16°C or higher
$20,806 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a London high of 14°C (45.5%) or 13°C (34.2%) today, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicating peaks around 14°C amid light rain showers, patchy cloud, and lighter southwesterly winds. This reflects an abrupt shift from the record early April heatwave—26.6°C in Kew Gardens last week—to cooler Atlantic air masses following high-pressure breakdown, capping temperatures below recent highs while aligning with seasonal norms of 12–15°C. Hourly models show a midday rise to 14°C before afternoon showers potentially suppress further warming, though brief sun breaks could nudge toward 15°C (14.5%). Ongoing observations from official stations will refine the peak as the day unfolds, with model uncertainty around shower timing keeping lower outcomes viable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$194,349End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a London high of 14°C (45.5%) or 13°C (34.2%) today, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicating peaks around 14°C amid light rain showers, patchy cloud, and lighter southwesterly winds. This reflects an abrupt shift from the record early April heatwave—26.6°C in Kew Gardens last week—to cooler Atlantic air masses following high-pressure breakdown, capping temperatures below recent highs while aligning with seasonal norms of 12–15°C. Hourly models show a midday rise to 14°C before afternoon showers potentially suppress further warming, though brief sun breaks could nudge toward 15°C (14.5%). Ongoing observations from official stations will refine the peak as the day unfolds, with model uncertainty around shower timing keeping lower outcomes viable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$194,349End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a London high of 14°C (45.5%) or 13°C (34.2%) today, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicating peaks around 14°C amid light rain showers, patchy cloud, and lighter southwesterly winds. This reflects an abrupt shift from the record early April heatwave—26.6°C in Kew Gardens last week—to cooler Atlantic air masses following high-pressure breakdown, capping temperatures below recent highs while aligning with seasonal norms of 12–15°C. Hourly models show a midday rise to 14°C before afternoon showers potentially suppress further warming, though brief sun breaks could nudge toward 15°C (14.5%). Ongoing observations from official stations will refine the peak as the day unfolds, with model uncertainty around shower timing keeping lower outcomes viable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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