Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show model consensus highs clustering around 82-85°F on April 15 under a warm, humid regime with southerly winds advecting Gulf moisture and a building high-pressure ridge to the east, driving trader sentiment toward those closely matched leading outcomes at 30.5% and 28.5%. Recent scattered showers over the past 24 hours, as noted in NWS updates, have slightly boosted cloud cover probabilities, capping potential peaks in the 82-83°F bin while drier scenarios could push into 84-85°F via enhanced diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include afternoon convection timing—persistent cumulus or isolated thunderstorms would suppress maxima, versus clearer skies allowing urban heat island effects at Intercontinental Airport to nudge higher. Ensemble spreads reflect this uncertainty, with new 12z GFS/ECMWF runs expected midday April 14 to refine odds ahead of resolution.