MetService's official observations for Wellington Central on April 13 confirm a peak temperature of 19.3°C amid cloudy skies, peak winds of 54 km/h, and 35.4 mm of rain, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 19°C outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with WeatherWatch's April 12 forecast pinpointing 19°C as the daily high, reflecting typical autumn patterns for the region where April maxima average 17–18°C under southerly flows and frontal systems. While measurement at Wellington International Airport could vary slightly due to microclimate differences, verified hourly data shows no exceedance of 20°C, making alternative outcomes highly improbable barring a rare post hoc data revision by NIWA or the resolving authority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$238,795 Vol.
$238,795 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$238,795 Vol.
$238,795 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
MetService's official observations for Wellington Central on April 13 confirm a peak temperature of 19.3°C amid cloudy skies, peak winds of 54 km/h, and 35.4 mm of rain, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 19°C outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with WeatherWatch's April 12 forecast pinpointing 19°C as the daily high, reflecting typical autumn patterns for the region where April maxima average 17–18°C under southerly flows and frontal systems. While measurement at Wellington International Airport could vary slightly due to microclimate differences, verified hourly data shows no exceedance of 20°C, making alternative outcomes highly improbable barring a rare post hoc data revision by NIWA or the resolving authority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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