Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Busan's highest temperature on April 15, with 21°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid spring atmospheric variability. The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term guidance projects a daytime high near 24°C under cloudy morning skies clearing to partly sunny afternoons, supported by light easterly winds and lows around 12°C, but persistent mid-level clouds could cap solar heating and limit peaks closer to climatological April averages of 18°C. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF analogs show divergences of 3–5°C due to subtle high-pressure ridge positioning and humidity fluctuations (35–85%), driving the narrow trader consensus below official peaks. Updated KMA bulletins tomorrow will clarify intensification potential or frontal influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
20°C 20%
19°C 16%
22°C 13%
18°C 11%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
13%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
20°C 20%
19°C 16%
22°C 13%
18°C 11%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
13%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Busan's highest temperature on April 15, with 21°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid spring atmospheric variability. The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term guidance projects a daytime high near 24°C under cloudy morning skies clearing to partly sunny afternoons, supported by light easterly winds and lows around 12°C, but persistent mid-level clouds could cap solar heating and limit peaks closer to climatological April averages of 18°C. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF analogs show divergences of 3–5°C due to subtle high-pressure ridge positioning and humidity fluctuations (35–85%), driving the narrow trader consensus below official peaks. Updated KMA bulletins tomorrow will clarify intensification potential or frontal influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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