Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 22°C (85% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature today, closely tracking the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official forecast of a 22°C peak amid cloudy skies and light rain chances. Morning observations around 17°C at mid-morning, combined with overcast conditions reducing solar insolation, support limited daytime warming from the basin's typical spring patterns. Recent forecasts from global models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and Weather Underground show minor divergence toward 23°C, but CMA guidance dominates due to local station accuracy. Watch for afternoon hourly updates from monitoring stations, as scattered showers could suppress the high further or allow brief spikes. Historical April averages hover near 22°C, reinforcing this positioning amid neutral ENSO influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
22°C 95%
23°C 8%
24°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$126,718 Vol.
$126,718 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
95%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 95%
23°C 8%
24°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$126,718 Vol.
$126,718 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
95%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 22°C (85% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature today, closely tracking the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official forecast of a 22°C peak amid cloudy skies and light rain chances. Morning observations around 17°C at mid-morning, combined with overcast conditions reducing solar insolation, support limited daytime warming from the basin's typical spring patterns. Recent forecasts from global models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and Weather Underground show minor divergence toward 23°C, but CMA guidance dominates due to local station accuracy. Watch for afternoon hourly updates from monitoring stations, as scattered showers could suppress the high further or allow brief spikes. Historical April averages hover near 22°C, reinforcing this positioning amid neutral ENSO influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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