The South African Weather Service's latest extended forecast for April 15 indicates partly cloudy conditions across the Western Cape with cool-to-warm temperatures and isolated showers possible, driving trader-implied probabilities to cluster tightly around 20–22°C for Cape Town's highest temperature. This reflects ensemble model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, showing highs near 19–21°C amid autumnal cooling trends in Cape Town's Mediterranean climate, where decreasing daylight and southerly sea breezes suppress peaks below the April average of 22–23°C. Recent observations hit 22°C on April 13 under clearer skies, but anticipated cloud cover introduces uncertainty—greater clearing could push toward 22°C, while persistent low clouds favor 20°C. Watch for SAWS's daily update on April 14, which may refine short-range guidance on insolation and precipitation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
21°C 27%
22°C 26%
20°C 22%
23°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
17%
20°C
22%
21°C
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 27%
22°C 26%
20°C 22%
23°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
15°C or below
$137 Vol.
1%
16°C
$222 Vol.
1%
17°C
$29 Vol.
2%
18°C
$36 Vol.
6%
19°C
$26 Vol.
17%
20°C
$19 Vol.
22%
21°C
$135 Vol.
27%
22°C
$30 Vol.
26%
23°C
$15 Vol.
19%
24°C
$50 Vol.
5%
25°C or higher
$94 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's latest extended forecast for April 15 indicates partly cloudy conditions across the Western Cape with cool-to-warm temperatures and isolated showers possible, driving trader-implied probabilities to cluster tightly around 20–22°C for Cape Town's highest temperature. This reflects ensemble model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, showing highs near 19–21°C amid autumnal cooling trends in Cape Town's Mediterranean climate, where decreasing daylight and southerly sea breezes suppress peaks below the April average of 22–23°C. Recent observations hit 22°C on April 13 under clearer skies, but anticipated cloud cover introduces uncertainty—greater clearing could push toward 22°C, while persistent low clouds favor 20°C. Watch for SAWS's daily update on April 14, which may refine short-range guidance on insolation and precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$793End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's latest extended forecast for April 15 indicates partly cloudy conditions across the Western Cape with cool-to-warm temperatures and isolated showers possible, driving trader-implied probabilities to cluster tightly around 20–22°C for Cape Town's highest temperature. This reflects ensemble model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, showing highs near 19–21°C amid autumnal cooling trends in Cape Town's Mediterranean climate, where decreasing daylight and southerly sea breezes suppress peaks below the April average of 22–23°C. Recent observations hit 22°C on April 13 under clearer skies, but anticipated cloud cover introduces uncertainty—greater clearing could push toward 22°C, while persistent low clouds favor 20°C. Watch for SAWS's daily update on April 14, which may refine short-range guidance on insolation and precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$793End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The South African Weather Service's latest extended forecast for April 15 indicates partly cloudy conditions across the Western Cape with cool-to-warm temperatures and isolated showers possible, driving trader-implied probabilities to cluster tightly around 20–22°C for Cape Town's highest temperature. This reflects ensemble model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, showing highs near 19–21°C amid autumnal cooling trends in Cape Town's Mediterranean climate, where decreasing daylight and southerly sea breezes suppress peaks below the April average of 22–23°C. Recent observations hit 22°C on April 13 under clearer skies, but anticipated cloud cover introduces uncertainty—greater clearing could push toward 22°C, while persistent low clouds favor 20°C. Watch for SAWS's daily update on April 14, which may refine short-range guidance on insolation and precipitation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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