Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on April 15, with 32°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid competing 31°C and 33°C outcomes at 20.5% each, driven by latest forecasts from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting afternoon highs of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to isolated thunderstorms. Recent days' patterns—such as April 13's forecast 35.6°C capped by showers to near 33°C—highlight how convective activity from persistent high humidity (70–80%) and equatorial heat often limits peak heating to 31–34°C, per historical April averages of 32.4°C. Key differentiator: timing of afternoon cloud cover and rain onset, with MetMalaysia's hourly observations at Subang station resolving the market by evening. Updated advisories expected midday April 14 could shift odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 15?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 15?
32°C 29%
33°C 21%
31°C 20.5%
34°C 12.7%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
29%
33°C
21%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 29%
33°C 21%
31°C 20.5%
34°C 12.7%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
29%
33°C
21%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on April 15, with 32°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid competing 31°C and 33°C outcomes at 20.5% each, driven by latest forecasts from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting afternoon highs of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to isolated thunderstorms. Recent days' patterns—such as April 13's forecast 35.6°C capped by showers to near 33°C—highlight how convective activity from persistent high humidity (70–80%) and equatorial heat often limits peak heating to 31–34°C, per historical April averages of 32.4°C. Key differentiator: timing of afternoon cloud cover and rain onset, with MetMalaysia's hourly observations at Subang station resolving the market by evening. Updated advisories expected midday April 14 could shift odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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