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259

Military Strikes

16

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32

Iran Regime

22

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24

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15

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53

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8

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15

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11

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32

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5

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Nuclear
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? card icon

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31

44%

Yes44%No56%

June 30

34%

Yes34%No66%

December 31

44%

Yes44%No56%

June 30

34%

Yes34%No66%

$523K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? card icon

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$680K Vol.

Monthly
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? card icon

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

39%

chance

Yes

No

$1M Vol.

Monthly
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...? card icon

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

April 30

6%

Yes6%No94%

April 15

1%

Yes1%No99%

April 30

6%

Yes6%No94%

April 15

1%

Yes1%No99%

$225K Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? card icon

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

53%

chance

Yes

No

$599K Vol.

Monthly
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? card icon

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Pakistan

63%

Yes63%No37%

No Meeting by June 30

12%

Yes12%No88%

Pakistan

63%

Yes63%No37%

No Meeting by June 30

12%

Yes12%No88%

NEW

Daily
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? card icon

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

36%

chance

Yes

No

$28K Vol.

Monthly
Iran nuclear test before 2027? card icon

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$163K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027? card icon

Iran Nuke before 2027?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$513K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? card icon

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

21%

chance

Yes

No

$270K Vol.

Monthly
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? card icon

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$107K Vol.

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Popular Nuclear markets

Military action against Iran ends by...?Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Israel military action against Iran by...?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Next leader out of power before 2027?Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Netanyahu out by...?Iran military action against ___ by April 30?Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

New Nuclear markets

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by...?Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?Houthi military action against Israel by...?Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Israel military action against Iran by...?Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?
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