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Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel military action against Iran by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Netanyahu out by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

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Frequently Asked Questions

Convert your "No" positions to the complementary "Yes" positions (and potentially USDC).

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Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves.

users who convert will receive Yes shares in any outcomes added in the future

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2026 Governor Race

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Learn about the 2026 United States midterm elections, including Senate, House, and gubernatorial races.

2026 Senate Midterm Elections

About the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections

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The most competitive and highest-volume races across all chambers. These toss-up and lean races are the battleground contests that will determine control of Congress, with markets reflecting real-time shifts in each candidate's odds based on polling, fundraising, and campaign developments.

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Live prediction market odds for every 2026 U.S. midterm election race including Senate, House, gubernatorial, and referendum markets.

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Alongside candidate races, the 2026 midterm cycle will feature ballot measures and referendums that give voters a direct say on policy issues ranging from abortion rights and marijuana legalization to tax policy and election reform. These markets track the likelihood of passage for the most consequential ballot initiatives across key states, offering real-time odds as campaigns evolve and public opinion shifts.

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US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?