Fordow, Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility near Qom, has endured multiple US-Israeli airstrikes since late February 2026 as part of the ongoing conflict, sustaining partial damage that has not eliminated its high-enrichment capabilities according to IAEA assessments released this week. No new Israeli military action specifically targeting Fordow has occurred in the past 30 days, with recent IDF strikes focusing on other nuclear-linked sites like Parchin in mid-March. Tensions persist amid stalled ceasefire negotiations, where President Trump highlighted Iran's refusal to compromise on its nuclear program on April 12; Israel awaits US approval for potential energy infrastructure attacks following a missed Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline, heightening escalation risks before any diplomatic breakthrough.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$222,327 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
April 15
1%
April 30
6%
$222,327 Vol.
April 15
$118,688 Vol.
1%
April 30
$103,638 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Fordow, Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility near Qom, has endured multiple US-Israeli airstrikes since late February 2026 as part of the ongoing conflict, sustaining partial damage that has not eliminated its high-enrichment capabilities according to IAEA assessments released this week. No new Israeli military action specifically targeting Fordow has occurred in the past 30 days, with recent IDF strikes focusing on other nuclear-linked sites like Parchin in mid-March. Tensions persist amid stalled ceasefire negotiations, where President Trump highlighted Iran's refusal to compromise on its nuclear program on April 12; Israel awaits US approval for potential energy infrastructure attacks following a missed Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline, heightening escalation risks before any diplomatic breakthrough.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Volume
$222,327End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Fordow, Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility near Qom, has endured multiple US-Israeli airstrikes since late February 2026 as part of the ongoing conflict, sustaining partial damage that has not eliminated its high-enrichment capabilities according to IAEA assessments released this week. No new Israeli military action specifically targeting Fordow has occurred in the past 30 days, with recent IDF strikes focusing on other nuclear-linked sites like Parchin in mid-March. Tensions persist amid stalled ceasefire negotiations, where President Trump highlighted Iran's refusal to compromise on its nuclear program on April 12; Israel awaits US approval for potential energy infrastructure attacks following a missed Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline, heightening escalation risks before any diplomatic breakthrough.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$222,327End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fordow, Iran's fortified underground uranium enrichment facility near Qom, has endured multiple US-Israeli airstrikes since late February 2026 as part of the ongoing conflict, sustaining partial damage that has not eliminated its high-enrichment capabilities according to IAEA assessments released this week. No new Israeli military action specifically targeting Fordow has occurred in the past 30 days, with recent IDF strikes focusing on other nuclear-linked sites like Parchin in mid-March. Tensions persist amid stalled ceasefire negotiations, where President Trump highlighted Iran's refusal to compromise on its nuclear program on April 12; Israel awaits US approval for potential energy infrastructure attacks following a missed Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline, heightening escalation risks before any diplomatic breakthrough.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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