Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

$275,637 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$275,637 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$113,758 Vol.

6%

June 30

$53,839 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tulsi Gabbard remains Director of National Intelligence following her February 2025 Senate confirmation by a 52-48 vote, but trader sentiment reflects growing uncertainty over her tenure amid U.S. escalation in the Iran war. Recent reports from early April 2026 indicate President Trump privately polled advisors on replacing her after she shielded a deputy director who resigned protesting the conflict's justification, diverging from administration messaging during her March 18 Senate testimony on threats. A National Counterterrorism Center director's resignation highlighted internal rifts, fueling speculation of firing or resignation. The White House reaffirmed Trump's "total confidence" in Gabbard, denying rumors amplified on social media, though her low-profile at events adds to doubts. Upcoming Iran diplomatic talks led by JD Vance and midterm pressures could intensify scrutiny on intelligence leadership alignment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$275,637
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tulsi Gabbard remains Director of National Intelligence following her February 2025 Senate confirmation by a 52-48 vote, but trader sentiment reflects growing uncertainty over her tenure amid U.S. escalation in the Iran war. Recent reports from early April 2026 indicate President Trump privately polled advisors on replacing her after she shielded a deputy director who resigned protesting the conflict's justification, diverging from administration messaging during her March 18 Senate testimony on threats. A National Counterterrorism Center director's resignation highlighted internal rifts, fueling speculation of firing or resignation. The White House reaffirmed Trump's "total confidence" in Gabbard, denying rumors amplified on social media, though her low-profile at events adds to doubts. Upcoming Iran diplomatic talks led by JD Vance and midterm pressures could intensify scrutiny on intelligence leadership alignment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$275,637
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tulsi Gabbard out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 27%, followed by "April 30" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tulsi Gabbard out by...?" has generated $275.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tulsi Gabbard out by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tulsi Gabbard out by...?" is "June 30" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 30" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tulsi Gabbard out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.