Market icon
Politics·Trump

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

2% chance
Polymarket

$256,420 Vol.

2% chance
Polymarket

$256,420 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A federal judge quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in mid-March, ruling there was "no evidence whatsoever" of criminality in the probe over his congressional testimony on Fed headquarters renovations, widely viewed as a pretext amid tensions over interest rate policy. Prosecutors admitted lacking evidence in a sealed hearing, prompting DOJ plans to appeal while Powell affirmed he will remain until any successor is confirmed and the investigation resolves. With the probe effectively stalled, evidentiary hurdles, and under three months until June 30 resolution, traders price near-certainty against charges, though a successful appeal reviving grand jury proceedings could theoretically shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$256,420
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A federal judge quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in mid-March, ruling there was "no evidence whatsoever" of criminality in the probe over his congressional testimony on Fed headquarters renovations, widely viewed as a pretext amid tensions over interest rate policy. Prosecutors admitted lacking evidence in a sealed hearing, prompting DOJ plans to appeal while Powell affirmed he will remain until any successor is confirmed and the investigation resolves. With the probe effectively stalled, evidentiary hurdles, and under three months until June 30 resolution, traders price near-certainty against charges, though a successful appeal reviving grand jury proceedings could theoretically shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$256,420
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related

Market icon

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

5%
Market icon

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

66%
Market icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

2%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 2% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 2¢, the market collectively assigns a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?" has generated $256.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?" is 2% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.