Vance predictions & odds

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Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

13%

$49.2K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

85%

April 30

$117K Vol.

$117K today

$53.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

75%

Pakistan

$38.5K Vol.

$76.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$521M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

846

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$550M Vol.

$3M today

$31M Liq.

346

Ends in over 2 years

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

2%

Ass / Shit

$416K Vol.

$353K today

$49.3K Liq.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

49%

Don Lemon

$533K Vol.

$817K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

9%

Any U.S. House member

$315K Vol.

$190K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

23%

Anna Kelly

$8.7K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

44%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$22.6K Vol.

$86.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

96%

Hakeem Jeffries

$5.2K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

55%

20-24

$10.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

54%

40-59

$1.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?

98%

Up

$79.1K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 10?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 10?

<1%

Up

$12.1K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

21%

Oil Sanction Relief

$351K Vol.

$106K today

$89.9K Liq.

14

Ends in 16 days

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

31%

3

$9.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

74%

10

$154K Vol.

$73.8K Liq.

37

What will Trump say during dinner with Dutch royals on April 13?

What will Trump say during dinner with Dutch royals on April 13?

70%

-No Qualifying Event-

$3.0K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

2

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Vance.

Polymarket currently hosts 120 active markets for Vance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.1B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vance predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.