SpaceX predictions & odds

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SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

94%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$159K Liq.

34

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

46%

2.0T+

$742K Vol.

$106K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

96%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$227K Liq.

42

Ends in over 1 year

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

37%

140-159

$281K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

45%

Morgan Stanley

$1M Vol.

$76.1K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

54%

June

$220K Vol.

$52.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many SpaceX launches in April?

How many SpaceX launches in April?

19%

13

$40.8K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

56%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$5M Vol.

$195K Liq.

210

Ends in over 1 year

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

36%

70-80B

$133K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

4

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

94%

>$1T

$1M Vol.

$138K Liq.

22

Ends in over 1 year

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

62%

<5

$439K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

36%

$290K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

92%

SpaceX

$69.3K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

5%

Successful splash down?

$1M Vol.

$56.5K Liq.

39

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

40%

1.5T-2.0T

$2M Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

7

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

5%

$759K Vol.

$34.6K Liq.

34

Ends in 9 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

91%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$261K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

6%

$154K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

36%

1.75-2.00T

$116K Vol.

$34.2K Liq.

1

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

21%

$144K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like SpaceX.

Polymarket currently hosts 27 active markets for SpaceX that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX IPO by ___ ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will SpaceX's public ticker be?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to Other (incl $SPCX). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on SpaceX predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.