Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 94.5% implied probability, driven by Reuters reporting in early March 2026 that the company is leaning toward the exchange as a condition for early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, enabled by Nasdaq's new fast-entry rule for megacap IPOs. This follows SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 for a potential June debut at over $1.75 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion—now serving millions with high-orbit deployments—and record launch cadence exceeding 100 missions annually. Historical precedents like tech giants favor Nasdaq for space innovators, but a shift to NYSE could occur if superior terms emerge during underwriter negotiations or roadshows expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNASDAQ 95%
Other 5.8%
NYSE <1%
$91,001 Vol.
$91,001 Vol.
NASDAQ
95%
Other
6%
NYSE
<1%
NASDAQ 95%
Other 5.8%
NYSE <1%
$91,001 Vol.
$91,001 Vol.
NASDAQ
$16,908 Vol.
95%
Other
$56,866 Vol.
6%
NYSE
$17,227 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 94.5% implied probability, driven by Reuters reporting in early March 2026 that the company is leaning toward the exchange as a condition for early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, enabled by Nasdaq's new fast-entry rule for megacap IPOs. This follows SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 for a potential June debut at over $1.75 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion—now serving millions with high-orbit deployments—and record launch cadence exceeding 100 missions annually. Historical precedents like tech giants favor Nasdaq for space innovators, but a shift to NYSE could occur if superior terms emerge during underwriter negotiations or roadshows expected soon.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$91,001Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 94.5% implied probability, driven by Reuters reporting in early March 2026 that the company is leaning toward the exchange as a condition for early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, enabled by Nasdaq's new fast-entry rule for megacap IPOs. This follows SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 for a potential June debut at over $1.75 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion—now serving millions with high-orbit deployments—and record launch cadence exceeding 100 missions annually. Historical precedents like tech giants favor Nasdaq for space innovators, but a shift to NYSE could occur if superior terms emerge during underwriter negotiations or roadshows expected soon.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,001Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 94.5% implied probability, driven by Reuters reporting in early March 2026 that the company is leaning toward the exchange as a condition for early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, enabled by Nasdaq's new fast-entry rule for megacap IPOs. This follows SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 for a potential June debut at over $1.75 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion—now serving millions with high-orbit deployments—and record launch cadence exceeding 100 missions annually. Historical precedents like tech giants favor Nasdaq for space innovators, but a shift to NYSE could occur if superior terms emerge during underwriter negotiations or roadshows expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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