Leavitt predictions & odds

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How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

50%

20 - 25 minutes

$1.3K Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

92%

Ceasefire

$4.3K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

25%

Donald Trump

$8.7K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

100%

Castro

$82.0K Vol.

$54.6K today

$2.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

76%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$943K Vol.

$255K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

2026 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick

2026 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick

98%

Fernando Mendoza

$1M Vol.

$467K Liq.

2

Ends in 11 days

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

92%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.6K Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

77%

Alibaba

$44.4K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$7.5K Vol.

$59.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$69.1K Vol.

$86.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

90%

Anthropic

$11.9K Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

51%

Anthropic

$37.9K Vol.

$51.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

59%

Anthropic

$3M Vol.

$397K Liq.

61

Ends in 3 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

46%

Anthropic

$344K Vol.

$93.2K Liq.

51

Ends in 3 months

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

54%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$156K today

$180K Liq.

19

Ends in 3 months

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

53%

Anthropic

$267K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

WTT - Women's Singles: Jia Nan Yuan vs Xiaoxin Yang

WTT - Women's Singles: Jia Nan Yuan vs Xiaoxin Yang

Yang

$39 Vol.

$0 Liq.

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

50%

Brando Pericic

$0 Vol.

$142 Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Tallahassee: Liam Draxl vs Kaylan Bigun

Tallahassee: Liam Draxl vs Kaylan Bigun

89%

Liam Draxl

$5.6K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Leavitt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Leavitt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.