Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on April 12, 2026, reached 81°F around 2 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as ASOS data finalized with no higher readings. A persistent high-pressure ridge over South Florida maintained mild conditions, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, keeping peaks well below the April climatological normal of 83°F despite ample sunshine. This aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA, which projected highs in the low 80s amid stable atmospheric patterns. Realistic challenges would require rare NWS data revisions from equipment recalibration or supplemental observations, but finalized reports render this negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 12?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$133,261 Vol.
$133,261 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$133,261 Vol.
$133,261 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on April 12, 2026, reached 81°F around 2 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as ASOS data finalized with no higher readings. A persistent high-pressure ridge over South Florida maintained mild conditions, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, keeping peaks well below the April climatological normal of 83°F despite ample sunshine. This aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA, which projected highs in the low 80s amid stable atmospheric patterns. Realistic challenges would require rare NWS data revisions from equipment recalibration or supplemental observations, but finalized reports render this negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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