Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (38.5%) and 80-81°F (36.0%) for Miami's April 14 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for mostly sunny skies and east winds of 10-15 mph that moderate peaks below the 83°F April climatological normal. Persistent high pressure over Florida has delivered dry conditions this week, with recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s amid light sea breeze influence, but model ensembles like GFS show slight spread—warmer inland runs versus coastal cooling from sustained onshore flow. Key differentiators include afternoon wind gusts or isolated clouds, which could shave 1-2°F; new NOAA forecast updates expected this evening may refine trader positioning ahead of resolution based on official Miami International Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 5%
$32,947 Vol.
$32,947 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 5%
$32,947 Vol.
$32,947 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (38.5%) and 80-81°F (36.0%) for Miami's April 14 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for mostly sunny skies and east winds of 10-15 mph that moderate peaks below the 83°F April climatological normal. Persistent high pressure over Florida has delivered dry conditions this week, with recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s amid light sea breeze influence, but model ensembles like GFS show slight spread—warmer inland runs versus coastal cooling from sustained onshore flow. Key differentiators include afternoon wind gusts or isolated clouds, which could shave 1-2°F; new NOAA forecast updates expected this evening may refine trader positioning ahead of resolution based on official Miami International Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions