Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 80-81°F (53.5%) as Miami's highest temperature today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies with east winds 13-15 mph. This aligns with seasonal climate normals—mid-April average highs around 82-84°F at Miami International Airport—but moderated by persistent high-pressure ridging promoting sea breeze development, which caps inland heating through evaporative cooling and low-level moisture advection. Overnight model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show consensus on mild conditions, with minimal changes from yesterday's outlook; 82-83°F (31.5%) remains viable if winds lighten or cumulus clouds dissipate. Real-time observations this afternoon, ahead of sunset near 7:44 PM EDT, will sharpen resolution as surface temperatures peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 13?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 13?
80-81°F 53%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 13%
76-77°F 2.0%
$50,962 Vol.
$50,962 Vol.
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
53%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 53%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 13%
76-77°F 2.0%
$50,962 Vol.
$50,962 Vol.
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
53%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 80-81°F (53.5%) as Miami's highest temperature today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies with east winds 13-15 mph. This aligns with seasonal climate normals—mid-April average highs around 82-84°F at Miami International Airport—but moderated by persistent high-pressure ridging promoting sea breeze development, which caps inland heating through evaporative cooling and low-level moisture advection. Overnight model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show consensus on mild conditions, with minimal changes from yesterday's outlook; 82-83°F (31.5%) remains viable if winds lighten or cumulus clouds dissipate. Real-time observations this afternoon, ahead of sunset near 7:44 PM EDT, will sharpen resolution as surface temperatures peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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