Mojtaba Khamenei predictions & odds

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Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

37%

December 31

$9M Vol.

$63.3K today

$361K Liq.

1,024

Ends in 9 months

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

20%

June 30

$23M Vol.

$938K today

$591K Liq.

334

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

2%

$40.4K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

19

Ends in 9 months

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

9%

June 30

$874K Vol.

$96.1K Liq.

65

Ends in 16 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

22%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$54.8K Liq.

152

Ends in 16 days

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

June 30

$336K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

8

Ends in 16 days

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

62%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$6M Vol.

$897K Liq.

86

Ends in 9 months

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

28%

15-19

$955 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

8%

Any U.S. House member

$315K Vol.

$182K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

11%

$30M Vol.

$416K today

$522K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

23%

$15M Vol.

$136K today

$330K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

7%

$1M Vol.

$55.0K today

$376K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

2%

$30M Vol.

$639K today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

6%

Fed Rate Cut

$166K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$169K today

$304K Liq.

334

Ends in 3 months

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

43%

2–3

$57.4K Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

94%

December 31

$39M Vol.

$2M today

$812K Liq.

1,973

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

14%

$384K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

17

Ends in 3 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

55%

May 31

$264K Vol.

$264K today

$60.4K Liq.

12

Ends in 16 days

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

91%

$536K Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

59

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Mojtaba Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran leadership change by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $172.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mojtaba Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.