Iran's theocratic legal system, grounded in Sharia law and enforced by the Supreme Leader, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties up to death, making gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with the Islamic Republic's constitution and governance structure. Traders reflect near-certain consensus at 97.8% for "No" due to the absence of any parliamentary bills, official reform proposals, or endorsements from key institutions like the Majlis or Guardian Council in recent months, amid ongoing suppression of LGBTQ activities and discrimination. No notable developments in the past 30 days have signaled change, despite broader protests focused on women's rights rather than LGBTQ issues. Realistic shifts would require a regime collapse, constitutional rewrite, or unprecedented policy reversal—low-probability events absent current catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$40,321 Vol.
$40,321 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$40,321 Vol.
$40,321 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's theocratic legal system, grounded in Sharia law and enforced by the Supreme Leader, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties up to death, making gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with the Islamic Republic's constitution and governance structure. Traders reflect near-certain consensus at 97.8% for "No" due to the absence of any parliamentary bills, official reform proposals, or endorsements from key institutions like the Majlis or Guardian Council in recent months, amid ongoing suppression of LGBTQ activities and discrimination. No notable developments in the past 30 days have signaled change, despite broader protests focused on women's rights rather than LGBTQ issues. Realistic shifts would require a regime collapse, constitutional rewrite, or unprecedented policy reversal—low-probability events absent current catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volume
$40,321End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's theocratic legal system, grounded in Sharia law and enforced by the Supreme Leader, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties up to death, making gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with the Islamic Republic's constitution and governance structure. Traders reflect near-certain consensus at 97.8% for "No" due to the absence of any parliamentary bills, official reform proposals, or endorsements from key institutions like the Majlis or Guardian Council in recent months, amid ongoing suppression of LGBTQ activities and discrimination. No notable developments in the past 30 days have signaled change, despite broader protests focused on women's rights rather than LGBTQ issues. Realistic shifts would require a regime collapse, constitutional rewrite, or unprecedented policy reversal—low-probability events absent current catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$40,321End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's theocratic legal system, grounded in Sharia law and enforced by the Supreme Leader, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties up to death, making gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with the Islamic Republic's constitution and governance structure. Traders reflect near-certain consensus at 97.8% for "No" due to the absence of any parliamentary bills, official reform proposals, or endorsements from key institutions like the Majlis or Guardian Council in recent months, amid ongoing suppression of LGBTQ activities and discrimination. No notable developments in the past 30 days have signaled change, despite broader protests focused on women's rights rather than LGBTQ issues. Realistic shifts would require a regime collapse, constitutional rewrite, or unprecedented policy reversal—low-probability events absent current catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions