Macron predictions & odds

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$88.8K Liq.

91

Ends in 3 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

33%

December 31, 2026

$318K Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

111

Ends in 9 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

91%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$380K today

$380K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

100%

Castro

$82.0K Vol.

$54.6K today

$5.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

80%

Mohammed bin Salman

$187K Vol.

$111K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Édouard Philippe

$38M Vol.

$987K today

$4M Liq.

393

Ends in about 1 year

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

51%

60-79

$2.6K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

21%

$10.5K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

22

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

91%

140-159

$165K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

44%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

56%

$489K Vol.

$49.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)

64%

>$600M

$15M Vol.

$403K Liq.

268

Ends in 3 months

White House # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

White House # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

40%

160-179

$16.8K Vol.

$56.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

57%

20-24

$10.0K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchet

Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchet

85%

Hailey Baptiste

$6.9K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

French Ligue 1 Winner

French Ligue 1 Winner

97%

PSG

$16M Vol.

$200K Liq.

14

Ends in about 2 months

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$7.5K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

74%

$2.2K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

12%

$8.2K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

35%

December 31, 2026

$445K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

29

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Macron.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Macron that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Macron out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $79.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Édouard Philippe. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macron predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.