Global Temp predictions & odds

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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

49%

2

$3M Vol.

$172K Liq.

17

Ends in 9 months

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

65%

3rd hottest

$60.2K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

81%

$119K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

36%

1.15–1.19ºC

$111K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

98%

Trust Me: The False Prophet

$22.8K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

95%

XO, Kitty: Season 3

$11.6K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

30%

Ken Sim

$19.3K Vol.

$86.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

42%

Caroline Elliott

$22.8K Vol.

$53.8K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Newark Mayoral Election

Newark Mayoral Election

95%

Ras Baraka

$13.7K Vol.

$45.2K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

66%

Rowenna Davis

$8.7K Vol.

$55.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 24 days

Venice Mayoral Election Winner

Venice Mayoral Election Winner

54%

Simone Venturini

$1.7K Vol.

$56.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

77%

Olivia Chow

$8.9K Vol.

$79.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

61%

Mark Sutcliffe

$3.7K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?

100%

22°C

$65.3K Vol.

$62.6K Liq.

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?

30%

33°C

$10.4K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 14?

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 14?

36%

29°C

$36.1K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?

100%

12°C

$65.3K Vol.

$47.7K Liq.

Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

57%

DRX

$35 Vol.

$831 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 14?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 14?

42%

13°C

$14.5K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?

100%

22°C

$79.3K Vol.

$59.8K today

$344K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Global Temp.

Polymarket currently hosts 135 active markets for Global Temp that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 49% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Global Temp predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.