The market-implied 100% probability on a 22°C high in Tel Aviv today stems from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) latest hourly observations and forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS global model runs projecting a midday peak of 21-22°C under partly cloudy skies and mild westerly winds. Current traces confirm no exceedance during prime heating hours (roughly 1-4 PM local time), matching April climatological norms where highs average 22-23°C amid typical Mediterranean spring conditions. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, underscores low uncertainty as the solar maximum has passed. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon urban heat island spike or measurement revision to 23°C, though cooling evening trends make this unlikely; final IMS station data will resolve shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$65,438 Vol.
$65,438 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$65,438 Vol.
$65,438 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
22°C
$8,996 Vol.
100%
23°C
$7,529 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,601 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,445 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,896 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied 100% probability on a 22°C high in Tel Aviv today stems from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) latest hourly observations and forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS global model runs projecting a midday peak of 21-22°C under partly cloudy skies and mild westerly winds. Current traces confirm no exceedance during prime heating hours (roughly 1-4 PM local time), matching April climatological norms where highs average 22-23°C amid typical Mediterranean spring conditions. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, underscores low uncertainty as the solar maximum has passed. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon urban heat island spike or measurement revision to 23°C, though cooling evening trends make this unlikely; final IMS station data will resolve shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$65,438End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied 100% probability on a 22°C high in Tel Aviv today stems from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) latest hourly observations and forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS global model runs projecting a midday peak of 21-22°C under partly cloudy skies and mild westerly winds. Current traces confirm no exceedance during prime heating hours (roughly 1-4 PM local time), matching April climatological norms where highs average 22-23°C amid typical Mediterranean spring conditions. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, underscores low uncertainty as the solar maximum has passed. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon urban heat island spike or measurement revision to 23°C, though cooling evening trends make this unlikely; final IMS station data will resolve shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,438End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied 100% probability on a 22°C high in Tel Aviv today stems from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) latest hourly observations and forecasts, aligned with ECMWF and GFS global model runs projecting a midday peak of 21-22°C under partly cloudy skies and mild westerly winds. Current traces confirm no exceedance during prime heating hours (roughly 1-4 PM local time), matching April climatological norms where highs average 22-23°C amid typical Mediterranean spring conditions. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, underscores low uncertainty as the solar maximum has passed. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon urban heat island spike or measurement revision to 23°C, though cooling evening trends make this unlikely; final IMS station data will resolve shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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