National Weather Service forecasts point to Seattle's April 14 high temperature clustering in the 46-49°F range, driven by persistent onshore flow advecting cool, moist marine air and extensive stratus clouds that limit solar heating. Following a midweek peak near 70°F, recent observations confirm deepening marine layer with dewpoints in the mid-40s°F and southerly winds around 10 mph trapping cool boundary-layer air. Trader-implied odds reflect model ensemble spread—GFS and ECMWF runs diverge by 2-3°F on afternoon cloud persistence versus partial burn-off amid an approaching upper trough. Prolonged overcast favors 46-47°F, while brief clearing tips toward 48-49°F; watch 12z model updates and morning soundings for shifts. Historical April norms near 57°F underscore this cool anomaly from Pacific influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on April 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?
48-49°F 37%
46-47°F 35%
50-51°F 16%
44-45°F 5.8%
$11,658 Vol.
$11,658 Vol.
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
6%
46-47°F
35%
48-49°F
37%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 37%
46-47°F 35%
50-51°F 16%
44-45°F 5.8%
$11,658 Vol.
$11,658 Vol.
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
6%
46-47°F
35%
48-49°F
37%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts point to Seattle's April 14 high temperature clustering in the 46-49°F range, driven by persistent onshore flow advecting cool, moist marine air and extensive stratus clouds that limit solar heating. Following a midweek peak near 70°F, recent observations confirm deepening marine layer with dewpoints in the mid-40s°F and southerly winds around 10 mph trapping cool boundary-layer air. Trader-implied odds reflect model ensemble spread—GFS and ECMWF runs diverge by 2-3°F on afternoon cloud persistence versus partial burn-off amid an approaching upper trough. Prolonged overcast favors 46-47°F, while brief clearing tips toward 48-49°F; watch 12z model updates and morning soundings for shifts. Historical April norms near 57°F underscore this cool anomaly from Pacific influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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