Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 46-51°F highs for Seattle on April 15, mirroring National Weather Service guidance showing cool midweek conditions from an incoming frontal system and strengthening onshore flow. This setup delivers cool marine air advection and widespread stratiform clouds from the Puget Sound marine layer, capping daytime heating below seasonal norms of around 57°F. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit spread in boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing potential—stubborn low clouds favor 46-47°F outcomes, while better burn-off or lighter precip could push toward 50-51°F. Recent area forecast discussions highlight this shift from early-week warmth to cooler, showery patterns; watch evening 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 15?
46-47°F 34%
48-49°F 29%
50-51°F 17%
44-45°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
43°F or below
3%
44-45°F
11%
46-47°F
34%
48-49°F
29%
50-51°F
17%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
<1%
46-47°F 34%
48-49°F 29%
50-51°F 17%
44-45°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Apr 15, 2026
43°F or below
$444 Vol.
3%
44-45°F
$287 Vol.
11%
46-47°F
$542 Vol.
34%
48-49°F
$451 Vol.
29%
50-51°F
$885 Vol.
17%
52-53°F
$788 Vol.
5%
54-55°F
$925 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$198 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$307 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$370 Vol.
<1%
62°F or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 46-51°F highs for Seattle on April 15, mirroring National Weather Service guidance showing cool midweek conditions from an incoming frontal system and strengthening onshore flow. This setup delivers cool marine air advection and widespread stratiform clouds from the Puget Sound marine layer, capping daytime heating below seasonal norms of around 57°F. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit spread in boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing potential—stubborn low clouds favor 46-47°F outcomes, while better burn-off or lighter precip could push toward 50-51°F. Recent area forecast discussions highlight this shift from early-week warmth to cooler, showery patterns; watch evening 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$5,112End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 46-51°F highs for Seattle on April 15, mirroring National Weather Service guidance showing cool midweek conditions from an incoming frontal system and strengthening onshore flow. This setup delivers cool marine air advection and widespread stratiform clouds from the Puget Sound marine layer, capping daytime heating below seasonal norms of around 57°F. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit spread in boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing potential—stubborn low clouds favor 46-47°F outcomes, while better burn-off or lighter precip could push toward 50-51°F. Recent area forecast discussions highlight this shift from early-week warmth to cooler, showery patterns; watch evening 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,112End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 46-51°F highs for Seattle on April 15, mirroring National Weather Service guidance showing cool midweek conditions from an incoming frontal system and strengthening onshore flow. This setup delivers cool marine air advection and widespread stratiform clouds from the Puget Sound marine layer, capping daytime heating below seasonal norms of around 57°F. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit spread in boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing potential—stubborn low clouds favor 46-47°F outcomes, while better burn-off or lighter precip could push toward 50-51°F. Recent area forecast discussions highlight this shift from early-week warmth to cooler, showery patterns; watch evening 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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