Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, 2026, driven by authoritative forecasts from sources like Gismeteo, AccuWeather, and Yandex Weather projecting daytime highs of 11–13°C under overcast to partly cloudy conditions at Vnukovo International Airport, the NOAA reporting station for market resolution. Current midday observations already approaching 11°C amid mild easterly winds and typical mid-April diurnal heating patterns, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS analogs showing minimal cooling risk. This aligns with climatological norms, where Moscow's April highs average 10–12°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold air intrusion or persistent low cloud deck—remain improbable given stable upper-air patterns, with final hourly data expected by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$52,590 Vol.
$52,590 Vol.
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
Yes
11°C or higher 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$52,590 Vol.
$52,590 Vol.
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Moscow's highest temperature reaching 11°C or higher on April 13, 2026, driven by authoritative forecasts from sources like Gismeteo, AccuWeather, and Yandex Weather projecting daytime highs of 11–13°C under overcast to partly cloudy conditions at Vnukovo International Airport, the NOAA reporting station for market resolution. Current midday observations already approaching 11°C amid mild easterly winds and typical mid-April diurnal heating patterns, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS analogs showing minimal cooling risk. This aligns with climatological norms, where Moscow's April highs average 10–12°C. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold air intrusion or persistent low cloud deck—remain improbable given stable upper-air patterns, with final hourly data expected by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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