India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 37°C in Lucknow on April 14 under clear skies with minimums around 22°C, yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies 38°C (48%) or 39°C (37.5%) as likeliest, reflecting private models like AccuWeather's 40°C projection amid a projected 4-6°C rise in maximums over the coming week. This positioning stems from recent observations—36.6°C on April 12, 1.6°C below normal—transitioning to dry conditions with strong surface winds (25-35 kmph) that enhance daytime solar heating by reducing cloud cover and humidity. Clear skies favor intense insolation on the Gangetic plain during pre-monsoon buildup, though model spread highlights uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. IMD station data releases post-1700 IST will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 14?
38°C 48%
39°C 38%
37°C 10%
40°C 4.0%
NEW
$16,073 Vol.
NEW
$16,073 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
35°C or below
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
10%
38°C
48%
39°C
38%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 48%
39°C 38%
37°C 10%
40°C 4.0%
NEW
$16,073 Vol.
NEW
$16,073 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
35°C or below
$2,493 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,682 Vol.
2%
37°C
$2,259 Vol.
10%
38°C
$1,647 Vol.
48%
39°C
$1,155 Vol.
38%
40°C
$1,564 Vol.
4%
41°C
$1,529 Vol.
1%
42°C
$1,172 Vol.
1%
43°C
$933 Vol.
1%
44°C
$895 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$743 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 37°C in Lucknow on April 14 under clear skies with minimums around 22°C, yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies 38°C (48%) or 39°C (37.5%) as likeliest, reflecting private models like AccuWeather's 40°C projection amid a projected 4-6°C rise in maximums over the coming week. This positioning stems from recent observations—36.6°C on April 12, 1.6°C below normal—transitioning to dry conditions with strong surface winds (25-35 kmph) that enhance daytime solar heating by reducing cloud cover and humidity. Clear skies favor intense insolation on the Gangetic plain during pre-monsoon buildup, though model spread highlights uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. IMD station data releases post-1700 IST will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$16,073End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 37°C in Lucknow on April 14 under clear skies with minimums around 22°C, yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies 38°C (48%) or 39°C (37.5%) as likeliest, reflecting private models like AccuWeather's 40°C projection amid a projected 4-6°C rise in maximums over the coming week. This positioning stems from recent observations—36.6°C on April 12, 1.6°C below normal—transitioning to dry conditions with strong surface winds (25-35 kmph) that enhance daytime solar heating by reducing cloud cover and humidity. Clear skies favor intense insolation on the Gangetic plain during pre-monsoon buildup, though model spread highlights uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. IMD station data releases post-1700 IST will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,073End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 37°C in Lucknow on April 14 under clear skies with minimums around 22°C, yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies 38°C (48%) or 39°C (37.5%) as likeliest, reflecting private models like AccuWeather's 40°C projection amid a projected 4-6°C rise in maximums over the coming week. This positioning stems from recent observations—36.6°C on April 12, 1.6°C below normal—transitioning to dry conditions with strong surface winds (25-35 kmph) that enhance daytime solar heating by reducing cloud cover and humidity. Clear skies favor intense insolation on the Gangetic plain during pre-monsoon buildup, though model spread highlights uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. IMD station data releases post-1700 IST will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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