India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C for Lucknow on April 13 under clear skies with strong daytime winds, driving trader consensus at 80% implied probability for this outcome and positioning it as the clear leader. Yesterday's observed high at Lucknow Airport reached 36.6°C—1.6°C below normal—reflecting steady pre-monsoon heating amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover that allow efficient solar insolation. The 17% odds on 37°C account for potential late-afternoon convective heating or wind moderation, consistent with mid-April climatology where highs typically range 36–38°C. Broader IMD outlooks warn of above-normal heat waves through June, but current model consensus and observational trends favor no extremes today; airport hourly data will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
36°C 87%
37°C 12%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$57,695 Vol.
$57,695 Vol.
35°C
<1%
36°C
87%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 87%
37°C 12%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$57,695 Vol.
$57,695 Vol.
35°C
<1%
36°C
87%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C for Lucknow on April 13 under clear skies with strong daytime winds, driving trader consensus at 80% implied probability for this outcome and positioning it as the clear leader. Yesterday's observed high at Lucknow Airport reached 36.6°C—1.6°C below normal—reflecting steady pre-monsoon heating amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover that allow efficient solar insolation. The 17% odds on 37°C account for potential late-afternoon convective heating or wind moderation, consistent with mid-April climatology where highs typically range 36–38°C. Broader IMD outlooks warn of above-normal heat waves through June, but current model consensus and observational trends favor no extremes today; airport hourly data will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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