Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

24%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$75.5K today

$49.0K Liq.

70

Ends in 17 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

54%

0-10

$96.3K Vol.

$64.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12?

85%

8-11

$92.6K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

13%

$8M Vol.

$583K today

$289K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

37%

$631K Vol.

$80.6K today

$77.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

40%

April 30

$89.0K Vol.

$89.0K today

$64.4K Liq.

8

Ends in 17 days

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

4%

$1M Vol.

$69.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

46%

June 30

$230K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

28

Ends in 17 days

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

84%

Nothing

$16.8K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

18%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$61.6K Liq.

926

Ends in 3 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

82%

10

$144K Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

25

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

48%

20-24

$9.6K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

62%

60-79

$1.6K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

76%

<3

$9.8K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 days

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

46%

$4.7K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?

81%

Up

$1.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$85 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Traffic.

Polymarket currently hosts 115 active markets for Traffic that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 88% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Traffic predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.