The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, announced by Russian President Vladimir Putin on April 9 and initially reciprocated by Ukraine, expired amid mutual accusations of thousands of violations including drone strikes and artillery fire, underscoring persistent mistrust despite diplomatic signals. Zelenskiy's top aide expressed optimism on April 10 about nearing a deal with Putin, amid U.S.-mediated talks stalled over territorial concessions in eastern Ukraine and security guarantees. Trader consensus at 53% Yes for a ceasefire by end-2027 reflects this competitive balance: fragile de-escalation efforts versus ongoing attrition warfare, high casualties, and unresolved core demands. Battlefield gains by Russia or renewed multilateral negotiations could tip odds decisively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$19,930 Vol.
$19,930 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$19,930 Vol.
$19,930 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, announced by Russian President Vladimir Putin on April 9 and initially reciprocated by Ukraine, expired amid mutual accusations of thousands of violations including drone strikes and artillery fire, underscoring persistent mistrust despite diplomatic signals. Zelenskiy's top aide expressed optimism on April 10 about nearing a deal with Putin, amid U.S.-mediated talks stalled over territorial concessions in eastern Ukraine and security guarantees. Trader consensus at 53% Yes for a ceasefire by end-2027 reflects this competitive balance: fragile de-escalation efforts versus ongoing attrition warfare, high casualties, and unresolved core demands. Battlefield gains by Russia or renewed multilateral negotiations could tip odds decisively.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$19,930End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, announced by Russian President Vladimir Putin on April 9 and initially reciprocated by Ukraine, expired amid mutual accusations of thousands of violations including drone strikes and artillery fire, underscoring persistent mistrust despite diplomatic signals. Zelenskiy's top aide expressed optimism on April 10 about nearing a deal with Putin, amid U.S.-mediated talks stalled over territorial concessions in eastern Ukraine and security guarantees. Trader consensus at 53% Yes for a ceasefire by end-2027 reflects this competitive balance: fragile de-escalation efforts versus ongoing attrition warfare, high casualties, and unresolved core demands. Battlefield gains by Russia or renewed multilateral negotiations could tip odds decisively.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$19,930End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, announced by Russian President Vladimir Putin on April 9 and initially reciprocated by Ukraine, expired amid mutual accusations of thousands of violations including drone strikes and artillery fire, underscoring persistent mistrust despite diplomatic signals. Zelenskiy's top aide expressed optimism on April 10 about nearing a deal with Putin, amid U.S.-mediated talks stalled over territorial concessions in eastern Ukraine and security guarantees. Trader consensus at 53% Yes for a ceasefire by end-2027 reflects this competitive balance: fragile de-escalation efforts versus ongoing attrition warfare, high casualties, and unresolved core demands. Battlefield gains by Russia or renewed multilateral negotiations could tip odds decisively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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