Texas Primary predictions & odds

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Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

61%

Ken Paxton

$15M Vol.

$307K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

88%

Tom Sell

$65.1K Vol.

$45.7K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner

71%

Colin Allred

$55.2K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

91%

Jon Bonck

$30.3K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

75%

Christian Menefee

$20.8K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

82%

Everett Jackson

$22.5K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

60%

Talarico & Paxton

$661K Vol.

$95.3K Liq.

3

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

77%

Mayes Middleton

$3.6K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

29%

Paxton 9%+

$51.0K Vol.

$109K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

24%

2.4–2.7M

$34.5K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

10%

$5.1K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

MLB World Series Champion 2026

MLB World Series Champion 2026

30%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$12M Vol.

$348K today

$4M Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

20%

New York Yankees

$3M Vol.

$340K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics

54%

Texas Rangers

$43.4K Vol.

$649K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners

61%

Seattle Mariners

$0 Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for Texas Primary that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $31.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Ken Paxton drop out?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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