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Politics·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Market icon
Politics·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Mayes Middleton

$169 Vol.

78%

Chip Roy

$3,384 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mayes Middleton leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to win the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff against U.S. Rep. Chip Roy (26.5%), driven by his first-place finish in the March 3 primary with 39% of the vote to Roy's 32%, fueled by nearly $14 million in self-funding that dwarfs Roy's fundraising. Third-place finisher Aaron Reitz, endorsed by outgoing AG Ken Paxton, backed Middleton on March 25, likely consolidating conservative support ahead of the May 26 runoff. Recent attack ads and responses highlight differences on border policy and state priorities, but low-turnout runoffs favor well-funded frontrunners amid historical GOP primary patterns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,553
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mayes Middleton leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to win the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff against U.S. Rep. Chip Roy (26.5%), driven by his first-place finish in the March 3 primary with 39% of the vote to Roy's 32%, fueled by nearly $14 million in self-funding that dwarfs Roy's fundraising. Third-place finisher Aaron Reitz, endorsed by outgoing AG Ken Paxton, backed Middleton on March 25, likely consolidating conservative support ahead of the May 26 runoff. Recent attack ads and responses highlight differences on border policy and state priorities, but low-turnout runoffs favor well-funded frontrunners amid historical GOP primary patterns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,553
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mayes Middleton" at 79%, followed by "Chip Roy" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is "Mayes Middleton" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chip Roy" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.