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Politics·Primaries

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

Dan Cox 57%

Ed Hale 32.3%

Christopher Bouchat 5%

Steve Hershey 3.3%

Polymarket

$540,529 Vol.

Dan Cox 57%

Ed Hale 32.3%

Christopher Bouchat 5%

Steve Hershey 3.3%

Polymarket

$540,529 Vol.

Dan Cox

$93,550 Vol.

57%

Ed Hale

$13,250 Vol.

32%

Christopher Bouchat

$36,021 Vol.

5%

Steve Hershey

$345,117 Vol.

3%

Larry Hogan

$47,494 Vol.

2%

Kurt Wedekind

$930 Vol.

1%

John Myrick

$3,045 Vol.

1%

Carl Brunner

$1,121 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Dan Cox at 58.5% to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee—who garnered Trump endorsement and strong base turnout despite a general election rout—and sustained grassroots campaigning criticizing incumbent Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's fiscal policies. Ed Hale follows at 32.2%, positioning as a self-funded Baltimore businessman emphasizing fiscal conservatism to appeal beyond the party core. Both frontrunners skipped the March 26 primary debate, underscoring perceived momentum in a fragmented field of over 10 candidates amid scant public polling. Upcoming early voting from June 11 could shift dynamics based on turnout in this Democratic-leaning state.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$540,529
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Dan Cox at 58.5% to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee—who garnered Trump endorsement and strong base turnout despite a general election rout—and sustained grassroots campaigning criticizing incumbent Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's fiscal policies. Ed Hale follows at 32.2%, positioning as a self-funded Baltimore businessman emphasizing fiscal conservatism to appeal beyond the party core. Both frontrunners skipped the March 26 primary debate, underscoring perceived momentum in a fragmented field of over 10 candidates amid scant public polling. Upcoming early voting from June 11 could shift dynamics based on turnout in this Democratic-leaning state.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$540,529
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Cox" at 57%, followed by "Ed Hale" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $540.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Dan Cox" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed Hale" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.