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Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

Robert Charles 54%

Jonathan Bush 21.5%

Ben Midgely 16%

David Jones 15.2%

Polymarket

$12,805 Vol.

Robert Charles 54%

Jonathan Bush 21.5%

Ben Midgely 16%

David Jones 15.2%

Polymarket

$12,805 Vol.

Robert Charles

$3,187 Vol.

52%

Jonathan Bush

$4,121 Vol.

24%

Ben Midgely

$612 Vol.

16%

David Jones

$1,369 Vol.

8%

Ken Capron

$551 Vol.

8%

Robert Wessels

$979 Vol.

2%

James Libby

$711 Vol.

1%

Owen McCarthy

$1,275 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability for the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary on June 9, reflecting his consistent edge in recent polls like UNH's February survey (28%) and McLaughlin & Associates (28% over 23% for the runner-up) amid a crowded eight-candidate field favoring plurality winners. High unfamiliarity noted in Pan Atlantic's early March poll keeps the race fluid, but Charles' name recognition as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State bolsters his position. Recent catalysts include the March 24 Bangor debate where all contenders clashed on spending and taxes with late attacks on Charles, Jonathan Bush's $1 million fundraising haul and $1 billion spending cut pledge offset by residency qualification scrutiny, and Ben Midgley's business outsider appeal at 15%. No new polls since February signal sustained momentum.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,805
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability for the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary on June 9, reflecting his consistent edge in recent polls like UNH's February survey (28%) and McLaughlin & Associates (28% over 23% for the runner-up) amid a crowded eight-candidate field favoring plurality winners. High unfamiliarity noted in Pan Atlantic's early March poll keeps the race fluid, but Charles' name recognition as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State bolsters his position. Recent catalysts include the March 24 Bangor debate where all contenders clashed on spending and taxes with late attacks on Charles, Jonathan Bush's $1 million fundraising haul and $1 billion spending cut pledge offset by residency qualification scrutiny, and Ben Midgley's business outsider appeal at 15%. No new polls since February signal sustained momentum.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,805
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Charles" at 52%, followed by "Jonathan Bush" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $12.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Robert Charles" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jonathan Bush" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.