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Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

John James 34%

Perry Johnson 29%

Anthony Hudson 6.2%

Joyce Gipson 4.3%

Polymarket

$23,267 Vol.

John James 34%

Perry Johnson 29%

Anthony Hudson 6.2%

Joyce Gipson 4.3%

Polymarket

$23,267 Vol.

John James

$7,236 Vol.

40%

Perry Johnson

$10,091 Vol.

40%

Anthony Hudson

$0 Vol.

6%

Joyce Gipson

$0 Vol.

4%

Aric Nesbitt

$1,213 Vol.

4%

Mike Cox

$2,391 Vol.

2%

Karla Wagner

$0 Vol.

2%

Tom Leonard

$0 Vol.

1%

Evan Space

$648 Vol.

1%

Ralph Rebandt

$881 Vol.

1%

William Null

$807 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, 2026, Polymarket traders price self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 40% and U.S. Rep. John James at 39.5%, capturing recent polls' razor-thin margins amid 44% undecided likely voters. Johnson's late-March surge—closing gaps in Macomb County and winning a Saginaw GOP straw poll—has eroded James' early lead, fueled by self-financing, criticism of James skipping debates, and a $4.7 million post-primary ad buy announced April 7. High undecideds reflect fragmented support in a crowded field; separation could hinge on endorsements, fresh polling, debate performances, or Trump signals before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,267
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, 2026, Polymarket traders price self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 40% and U.S. Rep. John James at 39.5%, capturing recent polls' razor-thin margins amid 44% undecided likely voters. Johnson's late-March surge—closing gaps in Macomb County and winning a Saginaw GOP straw poll—has eroded James' early lead, fueled by self-financing, criticism of James skipping debates, and a $4.7 million post-primary ad buy announced April 7. High undecideds reflect fragmented support in a crowded field; separation could hinge on endorsements, fresh polling, debate performances, or Trump signals before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,267
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John James" at 40%, followed by "Perry Johnson" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "John James" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Perry Johnson" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.