Forecast model consensus from IMGW, ECMWF, and GFS has solidified around a 14°C maximum temperature for Warsaw today, April 13, fueling the 99.9% trader consensus backed by substantial trading volume. Afternoon observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport station align precisely, recording peaks near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that capped solar heating, with evening readings now at 11.3°C as temperatures drop post-sunset around 19:30. This matches mid-April climatological averages of 13.1°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon measurement revision or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation to 15°C, though dropping mercury and model agreement make shifts improbable; final IMGW daily max report expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 13?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$72,638 Vol.
$72,638 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$72,638 Vol.
$72,638 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from IMGW, ECMWF, and GFS has solidified around a 14°C maximum temperature for Warsaw today, April 13, fueling the 99.9% trader consensus backed by substantial trading volume. Afternoon observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport station align precisely, recording peaks near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that capped solar heating, with evening readings now at 11.3°C as temperatures drop post-sunset around 19:30. This matches mid-April climatological averages of 13.1°C highs. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon measurement revision or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation to 15°C, though dropping mercury and model agreement make shifts improbable; final IMGW daily max report expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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