Trader consensus on Polymarket closely favors 22°C (36%) and 23°C (32.5%) as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 14, reflecting the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) April 13 update projecting a 23°C peak under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-average spring warmth. Recent days have seen highs of 20–22°C amid clear skies and mild southerly flows, aligning with seasonal climatology where April averages hover near 19°C but 2026's warmer anomaly—driven by shifting jet stream patterns—elevates peaks. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability and urban heat island effects in central Tokyo, with JMA's Meso-Scale Model ensemble showing slight spread; minor increases in humidity or northerly shear could cap at 22°C, while sustained sunshine pushes to 23°C. Final JMA observations from Tokyo station will resolve post-midnight April 15 JST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 14?
22°C 35%
23°C 33%
24°C 16%
21°C 12%
NEW
$37,904 Vol.
NEW
$37,904 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
35%
23°C
33%
24°C
16%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 35%
23°C 33%
24°C 16%
21°C 12%
NEW
$37,904 Vol.
NEW
$37,904 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
15°C or below
$14,834 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,137 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,202 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,616 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,784 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,914 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,794 Vol.
12%
22°C
$1,461 Vol.
35%
23°C
$1,278 Vol.
33%
24°C
$1,893 Vol.
16%
25°C or higher
$2,989 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely favors 22°C (36%) and 23°C (32.5%) as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 14, reflecting the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) April 13 update projecting a 23°C peak under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-average spring warmth. Recent days have seen highs of 20–22°C amid clear skies and mild southerly flows, aligning with seasonal climatology where April averages hover near 19°C but 2026's warmer anomaly—driven by shifting jet stream patterns—elevates peaks. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability and urban heat island effects in central Tokyo, with JMA's Meso-Scale Model ensemble showing slight spread; minor increases in humidity or northerly shear could cap at 22°C, while sustained sunshine pushes to 23°C. Final JMA observations from Tokyo station will resolve post-midnight April 15 JST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$37,904End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely favors 22°C (36%) and 23°C (32.5%) as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 14, reflecting the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) April 13 update projecting a 23°C peak under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-average spring warmth. Recent days have seen highs of 20–22°C amid clear skies and mild southerly flows, aligning with seasonal climatology where April averages hover near 19°C but 2026's warmer anomaly—driven by shifting jet stream patterns—elevates peaks. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability and urban heat island effects in central Tokyo, with JMA's Meso-Scale Model ensemble showing slight spread; minor increases in humidity or northerly shear could cap at 22°C, while sustained sunshine pushes to 23°C. Final JMA observations from Tokyo station will resolve post-midnight April 15 JST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,904End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely favors 22°C (36%) and 23°C (32.5%) as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 14, reflecting the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) April 13 update projecting a 23°C peak under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-average spring warmth. Recent days have seen highs of 20–22°C amid clear skies and mild southerly flows, aligning with seasonal climatology where April averages hover near 19°C but 2026's warmer anomaly—driven by shifting jet stream patterns—elevates peaks. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability and urban heat island effects in central Tokyo, with JMA's Meso-Scale Model ensemble showing slight spread; minor increases in humidity or northerly shear could cap at 22°C, while sustained sunshine pushes to 23°C. Final JMA observations from Tokyo station will resolve post-midnight April 15 JST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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