The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C for Taipei on April 14 under partly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 26.5% implied probability, narrowly trailed by 33°C at 30.0% amid a regional heat surge—southern Taiwan faces alerts for 36°C+ peaks from foehn winds cascading off the Central Mountain Range. Recent days, including a 33°C high on April 11, have elevated expectations above April's typical 25–27°C average, fueled by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak solar heating. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects at the resolving Taipei Songshan Airport station, minor cloud variations, and model ensemble spreads; updated CWA guidance expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 14?
32°C 26%
31°C 24%
33°C 23.8%
34°C or higher 12.8%
$29,728 Vol.
$29,728 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
26%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
13%
32°C 26%
31°C 24%
33°C 23.8%
34°C or higher 12.8%
$29,728 Vol.
$29,728 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
26%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C for Taipei on April 14 under partly clear skies, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 26.5% implied probability, narrowly trailed by 33°C at 30.0% amid a regional heat surge—southern Taiwan faces alerts for 36°C+ peaks from foehn winds cascading off the Central Mountain Range. Recent days, including a 33°C high on April 11, have elevated expectations above April's typical 25–27°C average, fueled by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak solar heating. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects at the resolving Taipei Songshan Airport station, minor cloud variations, and model ensemble spreads; updated CWA guidance expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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