Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's high temperature at 24°C on April 15 amid an early heatwave, with minimums around 12°C, partly cloudy skies transitioning to clear, and low precipitation risk of 20% in the morning. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, clusters tightly around 18–20°C (implied probabilities 21–27%), reflecting adjustments for resolution at Incheon International Airport station—typically 3–5°C cooler than central Seoul due to coastal marine influences and less urban heat island effect. Recent volatility, including a resolved cold snap and April 13 highs reaching 25–28°C regionally, underscores model ensemble spread in upper-air patterns and cloud cover variability, with historical mid-April averages near 18°C providing baseline context. New KMA updates due within 24 hours may refine exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
19°C 27%
21°C or higher 21.3%
20°C 21%
18°C 20%
NEW
$15,713 Vol.
NEW
$15,713 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
21%
21°C or higher
21%
19°C 27%
21°C or higher 21.3%
20°C 21%
18°C 20%
NEW
$15,713 Vol.
NEW
$15,713 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
11°C or below
$4,350 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,301 Vol.
1%
13°C
$893 Vol.
1%
14°C
$2,081 Vol.
1%
15°C
$869 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,647 Vol.
3%
17°C
$2,185 Vol.
6%
18°C
$576 Vol.
20%
19°C
$324 Vol.
27%
20°C
$551 Vol.
21%
21°C or higher
$986 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's high temperature at 24°C on April 15 amid an early heatwave, with minimums around 12°C, partly cloudy skies transitioning to clear, and low precipitation risk of 20% in the morning. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, clusters tightly around 18–20°C (implied probabilities 21–27%), reflecting adjustments for resolution at Incheon International Airport station—typically 3–5°C cooler than central Seoul due to coastal marine influences and less urban heat island effect. Recent volatility, including a resolved cold snap and April 13 highs reaching 25–28°C regionally, underscores model ensemble spread in upper-air patterns and cloud cover variability, with historical mid-April averages near 18°C providing baseline context. New KMA updates due within 24 hours may refine exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,713End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's high temperature at 24°C on April 15 amid an early heatwave, with minimums around 12°C, partly cloudy skies transitioning to clear, and low precipitation risk of 20% in the morning. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, clusters tightly around 18–20°C (implied probabilities 21–27%), reflecting adjustments for resolution at Incheon International Airport station—typically 3–5°C cooler than central Seoul due to coastal marine influences and less urban heat island effect. Recent volatility, including a resolved cold snap and April 13 highs reaching 25–28°C regionally, underscores model ensemble spread in upper-air patterns and cloud cover variability, with historical mid-April averages near 18°C providing baseline context. New KMA updates due within 24 hours may refine exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,713End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects Seoul's high temperature at 24°C on April 15 amid an early heatwave, with minimums around 12°C, partly cloudy skies transitioning to clear, and low precipitation risk of 20% in the morning. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, clusters tightly around 18–20°C (implied probabilities 21–27%), reflecting adjustments for resolution at Incheon International Airport station—typically 3–5°C cooler than central Seoul due to coastal marine influences and less urban heat island effect. Recent volatility, including a resolved cold snap and April 13 highs reaching 25–28°C regionally, underscores model ensemble spread in upper-air patterns and cloud cover variability, with historical mid-April averages near 18°C providing baseline context. New KMA updates due within 24 hours may refine exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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