Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 17°C (37%) or 16°C (27%) for Paris on April 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs projecting mild spring conditions after today's cooldown to 14°C amid passing showers from a weak frontal system. A building high-pressure ridge over Western Europe promises ample sunshine and light south-easterly winds (3-10 km/h), supporting daytime heating to seasonal averages around 16°C, with low precipitation risk (<10%). Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering in the 16-18°C range (85% combined probability), though minor cloudiness or timing of peak sun could nudge outcomes lower; monitor hourly updates from official stations like Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's resolution source, for final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?
17°C 38%
16°C 27%
18°C 20%
15°C 9.7%
$17,297 Vol.
$17,297 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
10%
16°C
27%
17°C
38%
18°C
20%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 38%
16°C 27%
18°C 20%
15°C 9.7%
$17,297 Vol.
$17,297 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
10%
16°C
27%
17°C
38%
18°C
20%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 17°C (37%) or 16°C (27%) for Paris on April 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF model runs projecting mild spring conditions after today's cooldown to 14°C amid passing showers from a weak frontal system. A building high-pressure ridge over Western Europe promises ample sunshine and light south-easterly winds (3-10 km/h), supporting daytime heating to seasonal averages around 16°C, with low precipitation risk (<10%). Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering in the 16-18°C range (85% combined probability), though minor cloudiness or timing of peak sun could nudge outcomes lower; monitor hourly updates from official stations like Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's resolution source, for final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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