Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, Florida, on April 14, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model guidance showing a strong upper-level ridge over the Southeast U.S. promoting subsidence, clear skies, and radiative heating under light east-southeast winds. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussion notes persistent above-normal temperatures, with April 12 reaching around 27–28°C per climate summaries at Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, building toward peak afternoon highs near 91–93°F (33–34°C) amid low humidity. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement, though minor sea-breeze influences could temper exact peaks; official airport observations will resolve the market by midnight UTC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 14?
33°C or higher 92%
32°C 6.7%
31°C 2.6%
30°C 1.2%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
92%
33°C or higher 92%
32°C 6.7%
31°C 2.6%
30°C 1.2%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C or higher in Panama City, Florida, on April 14, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model guidance showing a strong upper-level ridge over the Southeast U.S. promoting subsidence, clear skies, and radiative heating under light east-southeast winds. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussion notes persistent above-normal temperatures, with April 12 reaching around 27–28°C per climate summaries at Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, building toward peak afternoon highs near 91–93°F (33–34°C) amid low humidity. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement, though minor sea-breeze influences could temper exact peaks; official airport observations will resolve the market by midnight UTC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions