National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 83°F in Houston on April 14 under partly sunny conditions with south winds at 5-15 mph and low 20% rain chances from lingering onshore moisture, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely contested 84°F or higher (47%) and 82-83°F (37.5%) outcomes. Persistent high pressure overhead promotes warm advection, but model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows divergence on afternoon cloudiness and isolated shower development, which could cap peaks below 84°F or allow sufficient insolation for a push higher. Recent days' highs in the low 80s provide analogs, with resolution hinging on morning soundings and any convective timing shifts before evening updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
84°F or higher 41%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 17%
78-79°F 3.0%
NEW
$18,889 Vol.
NEW
$18,889 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
40%
84°F or higher
41%
84°F or higher 41%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 17%
78-79°F 3.0%
NEW
$18,889 Vol.
NEW
$18,889 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
65°F or below
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,062 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,403 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,952 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$996 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,865 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$1,111 Vol.
17%
82-83°F
$1,676 Vol.
40%
84°F or higher
$2,192 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 83°F in Houston on April 14 under partly sunny conditions with south winds at 5-15 mph and low 20% rain chances from lingering onshore moisture, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely contested 84°F or higher (47%) and 82-83°F (37.5%) outcomes. Persistent high pressure overhead promotes warm advection, but model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows divergence on afternoon cloudiness and isolated shower development, which could cap peaks below 84°F or allow sufficient insolation for a push higher. Recent days' highs in the low 80s provide analogs, with resolution hinging on morning soundings and any convective timing shifts before evening updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$18,889End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 83°F in Houston on April 14 under partly sunny conditions with south winds at 5-15 mph and low 20% rain chances from lingering onshore moisture, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely contested 84°F or higher (47%) and 82-83°F (37.5%) outcomes. Persistent high pressure overhead promotes warm advection, but model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows divergence on afternoon cloudiness and isolated shower development, which could cap peaks below 84°F or allow sufficient insolation for a push higher. Recent days' highs in the low 80s provide analogs, with resolution hinging on morning soundings and any convective timing shifts before evening updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,889End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 83°F in Houston on April 14 under partly sunny conditions with south winds at 5-15 mph and low 20% rain chances from lingering onshore moisture, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely contested 84°F or higher (47%) and 82-83°F (37.5%) outcomes. Persistent high pressure overhead promotes warm advection, but model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows divergence on afternoon cloudiness and isolated shower development, which could cap peaks below 84°F or allow sufficient insolation for a push higher. Recent days' highs in the low 80s provide analogs, with resolution hinging on morning soundings and any convective timing shifts before evening updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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