Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range NOAA forecast ensembles clustering Denver's April 14 high temperature around 59-63°F, with 62-63°F leading at 23% implied probability amid partly cloudy skies and light west winds. This tight race stems from model spread on afternoon clearing: warmer outcomes like 64-65°F (17%) hinge on rapid diurnal heating under more sun breaks, while cooler bins such as 58-59°F (20.5%) account for persistent mid-level clouds from a departing trough and elevated soil moisture after early April's 3-6 inches of thunderstorm rainfall. National Weather Service normals peg mid-April highs at 61°F, but recent post-frontal cooling tempers extremes; watch afternoon model updates for resolution shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 14?
58-59°F 23%
62-63°F 22%
66°F or higher 18%
64-65°F 17%
$22,977 Vol.
$22,977 Vol.
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
23%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
17%
66°F or higher
18%
58-59°F 23%
62-63°F 22%
66°F or higher 18%
64-65°F 17%
$22,977 Vol.
$22,977 Vol.
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
23%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
17%
66°F or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range NOAA forecast ensembles clustering Denver's April 14 high temperature around 59-63°F, with 62-63°F leading at 23% implied probability amid partly cloudy skies and light west winds. This tight race stems from model spread on afternoon clearing: warmer outcomes like 64-65°F (17%) hinge on rapid diurnal heating under more sun breaks, while cooler bins such as 58-59°F (20.5%) account for persistent mid-level clouds from a departing trough and elevated soil moisture after early April's 3-6 inches of thunderstorm rainfall. National Weather Service normals peg mid-April highs at 61°F, but recent post-frontal cooling tempers extremes; watch afternoon model updates for resolution shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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