Latest National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area project a high near 82°F on April 14 under mostly cloudy skies, with a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms amid south winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph. This positions market-implied probabilities with 82°F or higher leading at 43.5%, reflecting trader consensus on southerly flow and NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, bolstered by recent daily highs averaging upper 70s°F through early April. The nearby 80-81°F outcome at 30% accounts for potential cloud-induced suppression of peaks, while lower bins like 78-79°F at 18.5% hedge against isolated precip. Overnight GFS and NAM model runs show tight clustering around 81-83°F, though afternoon updates could shift odds as boundary layer heating evolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 14?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 14?
82°F or higher 42%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 18%
76-77°F 4.5%
$27,159 Vol.
$27,159 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
33%
82°F or higher
42%
82°F or higher 42%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 18%
76-77°F 4.5%
$27,159 Vol.
$27,159 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
33%
82°F or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area project a high near 82°F on April 14 under mostly cloudy skies, with a 20% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms amid south winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph. This positions market-implied probabilities with 82°F or higher leading at 43.5%, reflecting trader consensus on southerly flow and NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, bolstered by recent daily highs averaging upper 70s°F through early April. The nearby 80-81°F outcome at 30% accounts for potential cloud-induced suppression of peaks, while lower bins like 78-79°F at 18.5% hedge against isolated precip. Overnight GFS and NAM model runs show tight clustering around 81-83°F, though afternoon updates could shift odds as boundary layer heating evolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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