Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chengdu's highest temperature on April 14 at 24–26°C, with 25°C edging out at 32.5% implied probability amid tight clustering that underscores short-term forecast uncertainty from numerical weather prediction models like those from the China Meteorological Administration. Recent observations show April 13 peaking near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, following April 11's 26°C high and variable April 12 readings around 23–24°C, reflecting springtime fluctuations driven by Sichuan Basin's frequent low-level clouds and southerly temperature advection. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud fraction—persistent overcast favors 24°C, while clearing boosts to 26°C via enhanced solar insolation—against historical April averages of 23.6°C. New CMA evening updates and dawn soundings could refine diurnal maximum projections before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 14?
25°C 33%
24°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C 8.8%
NEW
$13,073 Vol.
NEW
$13,073 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
30%
25°C
33%
26°C
21%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
24°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C 8.8%
NEW
$13,073 Vol.
NEW
$13,073 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
21°C or below
$2,345 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,790 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,390 Vol.
9%
24°C
$445 Vol.
30%
25°C
$364 Vol.
33%
26°C
$243 Vol.
21%
27°C
$309 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,469 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,189 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,548 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chengdu's highest temperature on April 14 at 24–26°C, with 25°C edging out at 32.5% implied probability amid tight clustering that underscores short-term forecast uncertainty from numerical weather prediction models like those from the China Meteorological Administration. Recent observations show April 13 peaking near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, following April 11's 26°C high and variable April 12 readings around 23–24°C, reflecting springtime fluctuations driven by Sichuan Basin's frequent low-level clouds and southerly temperature advection. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud fraction—persistent overcast favors 24°C, while clearing boosts to 26°C via enhanced solar insolation—against historical April averages of 23.6°C. New CMA evening updates and dawn soundings could refine diurnal maximum projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$13,073End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chengdu's highest temperature on April 14 at 24–26°C, with 25°C edging out at 32.5% implied probability amid tight clustering that underscores short-term forecast uncertainty from numerical weather prediction models like those from the China Meteorological Administration. Recent observations show April 13 peaking near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, following April 11's 26°C high and variable April 12 readings around 23–24°C, reflecting springtime fluctuations driven by Sichuan Basin's frequent low-level clouds and southerly temperature advection. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud fraction—persistent overcast favors 24°C, while clearing boosts to 26°C via enhanced solar insolation—against historical April averages of 23.6°C. New CMA evening updates and dawn soundings could refine diurnal maximum projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,073End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chengdu's highest temperature on April 14 at 24–26°C, with 25°C edging out at 32.5% implied probability amid tight clustering that underscores short-term forecast uncertainty from numerical weather prediction models like those from the China Meteorological Administration. Recent observations show April 13 peaking near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, following April 11's 26°C high and variable April 12 readings around 23–24°C, reflecting springtime fluctuations driven by Sichuan Basin's frequent low-level clouds and southerly temperature advection. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud fraction—persistent overcast favors 24°C, while clearing boosts to 26°C via enhanced solar insolation—against historical April averages of 23.6°C. New CMA evening updates and dawn soundings could refine diurnal maximum projections before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions