Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 19°C high in Busan tomorrow, with 18°C a close second, reflecting the tight spread in latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 18–20°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and solar heating, tempered by Busan's coastal location where afternoon sea breezes often cap peaks 1–2°C below inland areas. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show minor divergence—cooler ECMWF bias due to potential marine layer development versus GFS warmer outlook—yielding genuine uncertainty amid historical mid-April averages of 18.5°C at Gimhae International Airport station, the market's resolution point. Key KMA updates at 11 a.m. and 5 p.m. KST could refine this further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 14?
19°C 33%
18°C 31%
20°C 17%
17°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 14, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
31%
19°C
33%
20°C
17%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 33%
18°C 31%
20°C 17%
17°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 14, 2026
14°C or below
$1,302 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,246 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,458 Vol.
5%
17°C
$985 Vol.
14%
18°C
$187 Vol.
31%
19°C
$302 Vol.
33%
20°C
$364 Vol.
17%
21°C
$705 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,008 Vol.
3%
23°C
$655 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$1,308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 19°C high in Busan tomorrow, with 18°C a close second, reflecting the tight spread in latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 18–20°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and solar heating, tempered by Busan's coastal location where afternoon sea breezes often cap peaks 1–2°C below inland areas. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show minor divergence—cooler ECMWF bias due to potential marine layer development versus GFS warmer outlook—yielding genuine uncertainty amid historical mid-April averages of 18.5°C at Gimhae International Airport station, the market's resolution point. Key KMA updates at 11 a.m. and 5 p.m. KST could refine this further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$9,502End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 19°C high in Busan tomorrow, with 18°C a close second, reflecting the tight spread in latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 18–20°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and solar heating, tempered by Busan's coastal location where afternoon sea breezes often cap peaks 1–2°C below inland areas. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show minor divergence—cooler ECMWF bias due to potential marine layer development versus GFS warmer outlook—yielding genuine uncertainty amid historical mid-April averages of 18.5°C at Gimhae International Airport station, the market's resolution point. Key KMA updates at 11 a.m. and 5 p.m. KST could refine this further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,502End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 19°C high in Busan tomorrow, with 18°C a close second, reflecting the tight spread in latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 18–20°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and solar heating, tempered by Busan's coastal location where afternoon sea breezes often cap peaks 1–2°C below inland areas. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show minor divergence—cooler ECMWF bias due to potential marine layer development versus GFS warmer outlook—yielding genuine uncertainty amid historical mid-April averages of 18.5°C at Gimhae International Airport station, the market's resolution point. Key KMA updates at 11 a.m. and 5 p.m. KST could refine this further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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